Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 4.196422 5.002344 5.899617 6.969516 8.207200 9.590551 11.250217
2025-07-27 3.180465 4.256098 5.575773 7.300560 9.480334 12.127211 15.566233
2025-08-03 2.426768 3.583610 5.123507 7.293715 10.238453 14.055351 19.329644
2025-08-10 1.841619 2.971720 4.589172 7.023731 10.534652 15.342681 22.335192
2025-08-17 1.434315 2.510208 4.154519 6.778792 10.770716 16.503241 25.211871
2025-08-24 1.185094 2.231288 3.926454 6.774589 11.311785 18.097139 28.792375
2025-08-31 0.996655 2.009599 3.742417 6.794213 11.863297 19.724450 32.527261
2025-09-07 0.831742 1.793004 3.525923 6.718166 12.233675 21.082171 35.935984
2025-09-14 0.666584 1.539775 3.200710 6.402598 12.157141 21.704411 38.215128
2025-09-21 0.568320 1.397391 3.052021 6.372625 12.550041 23.101924 41.823515
2025-09-28 0.486544 1.271691 2.913365 6.337512 12.919787 24.476176 45.477561
2025-10-05 0.457274 1.256402 2.991616 6.724727 14.090707 27.306855 51.781565
2025-10-12 0.412445 1.197685 2.974983 6.929826 14.956558 29.697838 57.552080
2025-10-19 0.382125 1.168363 3.017532 7.261525 16.098937 32.674507 64.566742
2025-10-26 0.332258 1.077356 2.907393 7.255420 16.571170 34.454817 69.554502
2025-11-02 0.274495 0.950228 2.691173 6.986900 16.478980 35.162282 72.618926
2025-11-09 0.227672 0.841349 2.498944 6.743160 16.406317 35.889701 75.753342
2025-11-16 0.199223 0.780049 2.415294 6.738995 16.840195 37.630671 80.912112
2025-11-23 0.175606 0.727670 2.345766 6.758535 17.324968 39.502831 86.435332
2025-11-30 0.151695 0.667346 2.243713 6.682842 17.585483 40.932099 91.169876
2025-12-07 0.123721 0.583520 2.058965 6.368744 17.261929 41.119794 93.426143
2025-12-14 0.108107 0.540731 1.986358 6.338911 17.602710 42.730347 98.663827
2025-12-21 0.094426 0.501028 1.915605 6.303962 17.926040 44.322340 103.953229